South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b6144c8c485ffcd62e2417af898ec8db7344b3d6c5e5e0c4c92fd7dfcaf99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,177$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 3,482$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,440$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 981.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 326.37$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 34c | 294.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 55c | 262.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 44c | 241.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 57c | 230.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 136.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 25c | 120.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 109.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…1906backed Yes | 27c | 102.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 40c | 71.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 59c | 68.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 67.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 40c | 60.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 53c | 55.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 43.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 40.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 42c | 39.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.