MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74cdba7e078143534b740007ef6dbc9fd2e5413767db4eba01c600051da9eddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Kiwoom Heroes, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 3,512$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.06 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.84 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 1,033$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 450.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.82 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 376.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 369.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 360.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 295.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 292.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 268.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 224.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 187.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 16c | 184.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 172.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 153.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Doosan Bears | 74c | 134.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 113.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 98.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 92.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 84.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 61.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…1419backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 60.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 48.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 48.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 21c | 47.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 42.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…e9afbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…4042backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 34.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 32.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…5c97backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 25.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.