CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ff1402442a33006de5b29f9472e73417d88579605476b869cba7de7219a471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HyperSpirit, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HAVU | 64c | 1,533$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.33 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 1,222$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.17 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 1,102$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.98 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 59c | 817.04$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 57c | 666.9$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 20c | 517.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…2677backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HAVU | 51c | 343.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked HAVU | 63c | 318.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HyperSpirit | 19c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked HyperSpirit | 27c | 229.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HyperSpirit | 37c | 219.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HAVU | 47c | 164.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HAVU | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed HAVU | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 611 | 42.7%261 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 86.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HAVU | 63c | 83.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed HyperSpirit | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 24c | 70.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HAVU | 78c | 63.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HAVU | 38c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 47.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 39.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed HAVU | 58c | 31.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 963 | 49.6%478 W · 485 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 30.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked HAVU | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.