CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff49169b4ae8291e80b83ba73f9fde1261c1b9bbe3f1cae6a657d349b55a010e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HyperSpirit, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HAVU | 59c | 3,746$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 3,701$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed HAVU | 55c | 3,653$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 2,503$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 2,373$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.76 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HAVU | 46c | 1,203$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.63 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 991.41$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 695.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed HyperSpirit | 21c | 671.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked HAVU | 49c | 620.45$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.08 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 43c | 446.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 413.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked HAVU | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…0154backed HyperSpirit | 3c | 397.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed HAVU | 56c | 381.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HyperSpirit | 47c | 355.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 325.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 317$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 293.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked HAVU | 36c | 279.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked HyperSpirit | 14c | 217.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed HAVU | 51c | 185.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked HAVU | 50c | 144.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 136$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 126.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked HAVU | 42c | 124.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked HyperSpirit | 18c | 124$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed HAVU | 57c | 123$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 110.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HAVU | 48c | 104.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed HAVU | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HAVU | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked HAVU | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked HyperSpirit | 53c | 88.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed HyperSpirit | 48c | 68.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HyperSpirit | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 56.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked HAVU | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked HAVU | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed HyperSpirit | 25c | 40.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 38.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked HAVU | 42c | 35.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 28.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked HyperSpirit | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…1aa0backed HyperSpirit | 66c | 27.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 25.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked HyperSpirit | 53c | 25.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked HAVU | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked HAVU | 52c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed HAVU | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed HAVU | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed HAVU | 77c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.