Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Alex Molcan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75300d3311c57205b6b1716f07691014136420147ff54c6baa4266aba75c4c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Emilio Nava, Alex Molcan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Emilio Nava | 20c | 9,536$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.96 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 73c | 2,941$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.89 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Molcan | 61c | 2,272$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.55 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Emilio Nava | 31c | 2,165$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.3 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Emilio Nava | 37c | 1,984$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.93 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan | 65c | 1,747$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.83 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Emilio Nava | 57c | 1,287$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.64 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 1,066$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.92 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Emilio Nava | 42c | 1,022$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.44 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Alex Molcan | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…5217backed Emilio Nava | 26c | 955.57$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 797.93$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 747.12$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.38 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 525$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.09 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Molcan | 59c | 520.34$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Emilio Nava | 19c | 504.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex Molcan | 44c | 480.74$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.21 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex Molcan | 75c | 458.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Emilio Nava | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Emilio Nava | 38c | 388.71$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Emilio Nava | 56c | 366.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Alex Molcan | 47c | 358.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Emilio Nava | 33c | 352.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Emilio Nava | 24c | 352.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 368 | 54.3%200 W · 168 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 339.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Emilio Nava | 36c | 339.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Emilio Nava | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Emilio Nava | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Emilio Nava | 36c | 293.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Emilio Nava | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Alex Molcan | 77c | 288.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Alex Molcan | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Emilio Nava | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…7d75backed Alex Molcan | 61c | 180.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 179.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Emilio Nava | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 548 | 44.5%244 W · 304 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Emilio Nava | 26c | 173.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Emilio Nava | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 166.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Alex Molcan | 60c | 160.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Emilio Nava | 56c | 156.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Emilio Nava | 34c | 149.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alex Molcan | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Alex Molcan | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 45 | 84.4%38 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alex Molcan | 74c | 138.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 134.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Emilio Nava | 22c | 128.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…a5b7backed Emilio Nava | 28c | 126.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed Alex Molcan | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed Emilio Nava | 55c | 105.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alex Molcan | 61c | 100.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Emilio Nava | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Emilio Nava | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…5394backed Emilio Nava | 14c | 95.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Emilio Nava | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Alex Molcan | 43c | 91.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Emilio Nava | 54c | 90.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Emilio Nava | 51c | 86.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Emilio Nava | 54c | 86.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Emilio Nava | 26c | 83.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Alex Molcan | 68c | 78.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 819 | 56.9%466 W · 353 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 77.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 369 | 64.2%237 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Emilio Nava | 25c | 73.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…41dbbacked Emilio Nava | 37c | 73.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Emilio Nava | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 66.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Emilio Nava | 28c | 65.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…b750backed Emilio Nava | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Emilio Nava | 33c | 61.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Emilio Nava | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 49.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Alex Molcan | 74c | 49.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Emilio Nava | 33c | 48.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 44.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…7216backed Emilio Nava | 48c | 43.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 147 | 70.7%104 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…b150backed Emilio Nava | 38c | 43.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alex Molcan | 45c | 42.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Alex Molcan | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Emilio Nava | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Alex Molcan | 45c | 41.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Emilio Nava | 28c | 40.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Emilio Nava | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Emilio Nava | 29c | 36.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Emilio Nava | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…e55ebacked Emilio Nava | 53c | 35.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…adddbacked Alex Molcan | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Emilio Nava | 55c | 35.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Alex Molcan | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Emilio Nava | 34c | 33.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 33.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…f2acbacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 31.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Emilio Nava | 42c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BMW Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Alex Molcanthis page
- Emilio Nava vs. Alex Molcan: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.