CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a2bd6a6fb8b72c7a3bff371ce52c33ff7eb2e17f00430d79a8117ebdb5fc88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof Tricked, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed AM Gaming | 35c | 796.22$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.51 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tricked | 62c | 790.85$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 39c | 605.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked AM Gaming | 50c | 444.61$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Tricked | 54c | 391.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Tricked | 40c | 374.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 73c | 366.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked AM Gaming | 36c | 322.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 27c | 219.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tricked | 57c | 207.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…c07cbacked AM Gaming | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Tricked | 78c | 129.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Tricked | 55c | 117.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Tricked | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked AM Gaming | 47c | 102.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed AM Gaming | 37c | 97.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked AM Gaming | 25c | 97.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…55b7backed Tricked | 65c | 79.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed AM Gaming | 28c | 68.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…a509backed AM Gaming | 36c | 65.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed AM Gaming | 61c | 55.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed AM Gaming | 47c | 50.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked AM Gaming | 34c | 46.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Tricked | 58c | 45.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Tricked | 66c | 39.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed AM Gaming | 39c | 33.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AM Gaming | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked AM Gaming | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tricked | 62c | 20.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.