South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e13ed37f498d144a8c29e3c24ae0fc658ba380e35c20601715d32b4f66c717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clube do Remoof Grêmio FBPA, Clube do Remo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clube do Remo | 72c | 438.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Grêmio FBPA | 28c | 372.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Grêmio FBPA | 37c | 344.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Grêmio FBPA | 9c | 271.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Grêmio FBPA | 34c | 264.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Grêmio FBPA | 11c | 194.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Clube do Remo | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Clube do Remo | 79c | 124.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Grêmio FBPA | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grêmio FBPA | 20c | 61.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Grêmio FBPA | 36c | 50.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Clube do Remo | 64c | 39.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Clube do Remo | 64c | 39.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Clube do Remo | 64c | 39.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Clube do Remo | 64c | 39.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Clube do Remo | 76c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Clube do Remo | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.