South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3b79e81135bb19465041458579eec003ca3174f06b9ca282ec698982051767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 1,262$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,146$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 292.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Over | 50c | 285.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 62c | 226.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 192$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Over | 7c | 167.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 150.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 7c | 148.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 124.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 21c | 115.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 38c | 114.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 103.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 90.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 78c | 81.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 78c | 81.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 78c | 81.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 46.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 53c | 46.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…0c02backed Over | 56c | 31.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.