South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55ce1e627a9b122a01b058fa10a230b4e32dc3e35f5ae9661de505a642fdb10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 3,222$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.59 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 25c | 1,249$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.77 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 795.39$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 637.08$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 501.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 446.46$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 30c | 324.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 301.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 77c | 249.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 75c | 219.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 216.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 45c | 216.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 185.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 74c | 180$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 132.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 31c | 126.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 26c | 108.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 31c | 94.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 67.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 16c | 64.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 44c | 46.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 46c | 44.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 42.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 39.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 49c | 39.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…85c4backed Over | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Over | 59c | 32.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 53c | 29.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…9ec7backed Under | 76c | 24.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Under | 70c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 72c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 72c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 75c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 75c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 75c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.