Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f15b0baf6e63b56ba9f7fb9eb00c8246aabbf65c795917df3765094677be1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 51c | 21,251$10,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,425.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 49c | 9,117$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 8,172$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.13 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,604$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.16 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 566.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 49c | 147.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 140.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 129.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 49c | 96.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 34.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 48c | 24.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16f…9117backed Under | 49c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.