Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f72a7ec80af194e1dff4bd12245242ed389412c417f950683ab39e201e9f4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 16,702$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,268.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 14,999$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.48 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 56c | 8,200$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 44c | 7,452$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.74 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 45c | 676.05$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 580$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 506.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 246.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 78.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 71c | 54.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 54.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…64ccbacked No | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.