CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fc036f40d182093dc4aba53a2a7aa4ccfdd1ae8507c45509f5760ba32aa934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAW Youngstersof megoshort, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked megoshort | 44c | 561.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters | 60c | 271.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW Youngsters | 64c | 206.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SAW Youngsters | 58c | 138.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed megoshort | 36c | 130.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed megoshort | 36c | 117.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 41c | 81.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW Youngsters | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 31c | 71.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW Youngsters | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed SAW Youngsters | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW Youngsters | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW Youngsters | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed megoshort | 25c | 51.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SAW Youngsters | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed SAW Youngsters | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked megoshort | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked megoshort | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed SAW Youngsters | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed SAW Youngsters | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed megoshort | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed SAW Youngsters | 61c | 26.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked megoshort | 44c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group ASAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)SAW Youngsters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.