CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc53047a7b0c0b32eabd04544b90143e08500ff01fbab377b6ca742dad26936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAW Youngstersof megoshort, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW Youngsters | 71c | 2,149$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked megoshort | 34c | 1,843$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.52 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 28c | 1,601$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed megoshort | 11c | 1,173$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters | 76c | 1,007$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed megoshort | 29c | 758.08$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed SAW Youngsters | 72c | 714.29$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed SAW Youngsters | 72c | 714.15$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 499.71$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked megoshort | 14c | 472.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked megoshort | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SAW Youngsters | 68c | 339.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed megoshort | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 276.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 246.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SAW Youngsters | 72c | 236.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked megoshort | 29c | 208$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed megoshort | 34c | 182.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed SAW Youngsters | 63c | 182$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters | 71c | 169.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed megoshort | 16c | 159.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked megoshort | 29c | 152.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SAW Youngsters | 64c | 148$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked megoshort | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 141.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed megoshort | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed megoshort | 29c | 101.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked megoshort | 28c | 100.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed megoshort | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c312backed megoshort | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SAW Youngsters | 77c | 91.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SAW Youngsters | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked megoshort | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked megoshort | 30c | 80.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SAW Youngsters | 72c | 77.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked megoshort | 27c | 73.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked megoshort | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked SAW Youngsters | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed megoshort | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked SAW Youngsters | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 28c | 46.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed megoshort | 37c | 44.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed megoshort | 33c | 43.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed megoshort | 29c | 41.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked megoshort | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed megoshort | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed megoshort | 38c | 31.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked megoshort | 34c | 30.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked megoshort | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked megoshort | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed SAW Youngsters | 69c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SAW Youngsters | 68c | 21.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SAW Youngsters | 70c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)SAW Youngsters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.