Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7605ad359fd957dfd3b802f3f25b15d9dc84487d820280167ce6d97aa5bed4ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 354$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 354$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…c60abacked Yes | 49c | 216$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 17c | 187.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 174.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 157.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 68.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 37c | 64.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 62c | 43.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 42.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 64c | 34.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 36c | 28.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 61c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.