NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7613667579785d4f6e981e78d81099bb48af4c8a37f3f54aafaabd629691511c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Ravens, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Ravens | 50c | 5,009$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.84 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Eagles | 50c | 4,947$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.63 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Eagles | 53c | 1,051$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.56 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Ravens | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Eagles | 52c | 333$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Eagles | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Ravens | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked Eagles | 53c | 210.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…45e0backed Ravens | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Ravens | 46c | 165.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…c130backed Eagles | 56c | 93.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…f12ebacked Ravens | 48c | 72.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed Ravens | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…d95ebacked Eagles | 56c | 44.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…b018backed Ravens | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…950cbacked Eagles | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Eagles | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…f4d0backed Ravens | 48c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.