NHL · resolved market
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b368823277e463d59581c6a04434d89216409e0233596a3d0c04812456edcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utica Cometsof Utica Comets, Hartford Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 47c | 5,694$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.84 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Utica Comets | 53c | 2,310$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Utica Comets | 49c | 1,912$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utica Comets | 53c | 1,442$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.27 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Utica Comets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 4c | 797.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 49c | 624.46$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Utica Comets | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Utica Comets | 52c | 294.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utica Comets | 53c | 273.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Utica Comets | 53c | 267.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 48c | 213.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Utica Comets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Utica Comets | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Utica Comets | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 48c | 105.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Utica Comets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Utica Comets | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Utica Comets | 52c | 88.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Utica Comets | 77c | 85.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Utica Comets | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Utica Comets | 51c | 57.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Utica Comets | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…44ffbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Utica Comets | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…c22ebacked Utica Comets | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Utica Comets | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Utica Comets | 54c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.