Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d475a73274258053d7555b3521c114cb083bbc051d2e1c212c4a309419fdb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tatjana Mariaof Mananchaya Sawangkaew, Tatjana Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 40c | 6,068$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tatjana Maria | 72c | 5,396$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.23 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tatjana Maria | 62c | 4,175$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.03 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 31c | 2,669$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 35c | 2,129$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.62 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tatjana Maria | 73c | 1,402$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 31c | 1,293$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 31c | 1,054$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 27c | 985.32$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 35c | 958.41$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Tatjana Maria | 70c | 685.71$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 38c | 649$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 18c | 605.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 36c | 417.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 32c | 416.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 407.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Tatjana Maria | 70c | 399.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16c | 380.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Tatjana Maria | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 284.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tatjana Maria | 68c | 269$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tatjana Maria | 70c | 257.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 9c | 251.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 34c | 223.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Tatjana Maria | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 146.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 28c | 144.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tatjana Maria | 69c | 135.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 30c | 123.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 29c | 119.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 101.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Tatjana Maria | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 28c | 94.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tatjana Maria | 74c | 94.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 16c | 70.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 25c | 62.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 39c | 55.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Tatjana Maria | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 36c | 35.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 36c | 35.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Tatjana Maria | 70c | 30.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Tatjana Maria | 69c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Tatjana Maria | 72c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Tatjana Maria | 68c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…b243backed Tatjana Maria | 77c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Mariathis page
- Set Handicap: Maria (-1.5) vs Sawangkaew (+1.5)Maria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.