CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ReThink (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e1da7f75dbf456b9753a791955d145e2464f4fecd8cb40895d186dd70d031a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, ReThink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 3,628$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ReThink | 21c | 1,192$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.35 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ReThink | 15c | 777$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ReThink | 26c | 670$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked ReThink | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ReThink | 20c | 436.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 391.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…1509backed ReThink | 13c | 364.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ReThink | 50c | 346.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed ReThink | 16c | 316.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed ReThink | 19c | 281$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed ReThink | 43c | 249$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ReThink | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked ReThink | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ReThink | 14c | 180$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed ReThink | 16c | 144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 136.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ReThink | 19c | 103.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ReThink | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ReThink | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed ReThink | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ReThink | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ReThink | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 86.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed ReThink | 28c | 86.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ReThink | 20c | 83.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ReThink | 19c | 76.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ReThink | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked ReThink | 20c | 61.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 60.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ReThink | 32c | 46.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 31.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed ReThink | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…e878backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 73c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ReThink | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ReThink (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ReThink - Map 1 WinnerReThink won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ReThink - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.