Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ed715891ab6f99f5ba92d006f50712a0773be1a7dd2163768a9bfbff58d37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Over | 50c | 9,780$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 50c | 8,508$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…5dabbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.36 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 49c | 499.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 291.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 50c | 208.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 79c | 152$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 136.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Over | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…b590backed Over | 61c | 100.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…913fbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 47c | 84.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 53c | 59.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…351ebacked Under | 49c | 40.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 45c | 37.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked Over | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Over | 51c | 28.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 46c | 24.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c8f3backed Over | 50c | 21.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)Oh My God won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaOh My God won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.