College Football · resolved market
New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7732b6bbe0db5d3e931aedb6814614a196a778da3ec13542051676dd154f911b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Techof New Mexico State, Louisiana Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed New Mexico State | 23c | 1,249$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.33 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Louisiana Tech | 77c | 1,093$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana Tech | 76c | 233.81$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed New Mexico State | 9c | 211$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New Mexico State | 24c | 179.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Louisiana Tech | 75c | 149.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed New Mexico State | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…0d7fbacked New Mexico State | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked Louisiana Tech | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed Louisiana Tech | 76c | 53.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…0560backed Louisiana Tech | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…cefabacked New Mexico State | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…0cf9backed New Mexico State | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…8931backed Louisiana Tech | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Louisiana Tech | 76c | 32.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…5d90backed Louisiana Tech | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Louisiana Tech | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…d7e8backed Louisiana Tech | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.