MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779e81a0c9911df345ead6092e325e89b48e5a8b42b6752d30a8b9cb815766e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Samsung Lions, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 1,467$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.88 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 642.27$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.59 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Samsung Lions | 11c | 381.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 363.07$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 309.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 297.17$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 215.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 161.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 36c | 153.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 115.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 92.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 91.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 22c | 70.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 57.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 48.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 44.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 37.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 33.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Samsung Lions | 41c | 30.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kia Tigers | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.