TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming51c664.74$342 inWon+$323.0853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed XLG Gaming63c439.19$278 inWon+$160.717565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Dragon Ranger Gaming48c378.79$181 inLost-$180.66637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming36c300$108 inLost-$10861035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed XLG Gaming56c251.71$141 inWon+$110.754047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming49c242.35$119 inLost-$118.751,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked XLG Gaming53c225.46$119 inWon+$105.976953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming46c184.81$86 inLost-$85.7245033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming48c115.06$55 inLost-$55.1321240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed XLG Gaming52c108.77$57 inWon+$52.219837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming12c100$12 inLost-$1215217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming19c80.33$16 inLost-$15.641,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming63c77.6$49 inWon+$28.7112656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked XLG Gaming78c66.16$51 inWon+$14.8417463.8%111 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Dragon Ranger Gaming28c59.01$16 inLost-$16.534739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked XLG Gaming62c31.52$20 inWon+$11.984252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming55c31.26$17 inLost-$17.1929151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.