Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28d111d833bfec580d1f32662f88f90a69ae0511b00d3334fa77b214f599512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 797$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 13c | 670.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 27c | 273.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 21c | 270.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 224.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 222.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 11c | 212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 183.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 157.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 140.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 138.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 137.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 8c | 128.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 20c | 93.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 92.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 37c | 63.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 60.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 58.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 34.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…db0cbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…fa88backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked XLG Gaming | 78c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.