Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Guiomar Maristany vs Mayar Sherif
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d6d812bcaaeebf50369a20007941eda6bc335699064e06db3bcb1db33b836c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sherifof Maristany, Sherif
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Maristany | 23c | 2,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Maristany | 18c | 2,070$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Sherif | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Maristany | 36c | 1,373$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.54 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Maristany | 16c | 1,252$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sherif | 68c | 1,153$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.82 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maristany | 15c | 834.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maristany | 20c | 790.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sherif | 76c | 692.46$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Maristany | 22c | 458.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maristany | 20c | 404.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Maristany | 30c | 336.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sherif | 76c | 322$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maristany | 26c | 320.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sherif | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sherif | 71c | 304.07$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Maristany | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Maristany | 17c | 289.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Maristany | 21c | 215.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maristany | 32c | 214.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Sherif | 56c | 204.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maristany | 25c | 202.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sherif | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Maristany | 16c | 179.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Sherif | 68c | 147.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sherif | 65c | 144.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sherif | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Sherif | 69c | 94.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maristany | 15c | 88.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sherif | 67c | 75.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Sherif | 76c | 72.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Sherif | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Maristany | 33c | 43.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Sherif | 73c | 42.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Maristany | 29c | 38.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Sherif | 70c | 37.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…5612backed Sherif | 80c | 33.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…122bbacked Sherif | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Sherif | 65c | 27.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…5ba0backed Sherif | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sherif | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sherif | 64c | 20.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Sherif | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.