Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rome: Tatum Evans vs Ayana Akli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77dfc4c3bb18556c7d85ab6bdc3491c2958a312c75b687fd349bb9d5b0954181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ayana Akliof Tatum Evans, Ayana Akli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tatum Evans | 38c | 328.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ayana Akli | 35c | 294.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Tatum Evans | 39c | 264.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Tatum Evans | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ayana Akli | 35c | 152.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ayana Akli | 26c | 132$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tatum Evans | 43c | 101.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ayana Akli | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Tatum Evans | 69c | 86.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tatum Evans | 33c | 85.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ayana Akli | 57c | 82.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ayana Akli | 39c | 80.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tatum Evans | 51c | 67.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ayana Akli | 55c | 58.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tatum Evans | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tatum Evans | 40c | 45.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Tatum Evans | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ayana Akli | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tatum Evans | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Tatum Evans | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ayana Akli | 56c | 22.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Ayana Akli | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Tatum Evans | 69c | 14.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.