Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f376ab00a8ead29bb2afcbae3316ba91a5c8181440b1870d37af540d87eb24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandrovaof Andreeva, Alexandrova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Alexandrova | 55c | 3,622$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.86 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Andreeva | 44c | 1,912$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.38 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…348fbacked Alexandrova | 56c | 1,014$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Andreeva | 46c | 923.22$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.68 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andreeva | 45c | 599.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Andreeva | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Andreeva | 50c | 471.29$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Andreeva | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Andreeva | 45c | 424.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexandrova | 50c | 300.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Andreeva | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Alexandrova | 51c | 269.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Alexandrova | 64c | 234.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Alexandrova | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexandrova | 52c | 210.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Andreeva | 49c | 205.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Alexandrova | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Andreeva | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Alexandrova | 56c | 178.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alexandrova | 53c | 161.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Andreeva | 47c | 159$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Andreeva | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Alexandrova | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Alexandrova | 56c | 95.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Alexandrova | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 36c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Andreeva | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Alexandrova | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Alexandrova | 49c | 23.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Andreeva | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)this page
- Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra AndreevaEkaterina Alexandrova won
- Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs AndreevaAlexandrova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.