NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7847c2996fa57629dde555ca7ebe23fc5e1ec33d62f39c9bc186b71c5d2aa0ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 7c | 27,616$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,675.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 4,813$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.96 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Bruins | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,005$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Bruins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,678$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.56 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 1,537$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.86 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 1,115$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,031$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.39 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…5c9bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 983.05$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…97fbbacked Bruins | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 925.92$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 824$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 721.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.55 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bruins | 66c | 715.96$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.01 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…937dbacked Bruins | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 687$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.61 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 41c | 542.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.29 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…daecbacked Bruins | 42c | 471.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bruins | 42c | 430.03$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 346.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 280.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 242$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Bruins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins | 36c | 231$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…de55backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Bruins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…f126backed Bruins | 37c | 196$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 177.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 163.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…bca0backed Bruins | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 44cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…1f61backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 142$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 140.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…53d2backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Bruins | 41c | 121.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bruins | 42c | 114.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Bruins | 78c | 110.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…fc5ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…4eb9backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…5874backed Bruins | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…d8ccbacked Bruins | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 99.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bruins | 43c | 97.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3bf7backed Bruins | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…d6fbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 88.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…ef25backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bruins | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 78.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…5f46backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 77.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bruins | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Bruins | 76c | 74.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 63.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…fcd4backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…fcb7backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 54.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…7058backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…5dd7backed Bruins | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce43…a695backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5330backed Bruins | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…027dbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bruins | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…3067backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 44.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 39.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…bb20backed Bruins | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…310ebacked Bruins | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…5049backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…f33bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Bruins | 47c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…b948backed Bruins | 42c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…de70backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…be2cbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…1e25backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…c332backed Bruins | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…74d4backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.