TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c6f…74d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$11.82
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.23
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$18
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
Canadiens vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.54
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.9
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$9.28
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.63
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14.45
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.31
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.45
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$15.28
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$17.21
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.25
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.26
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor vs. Panathinaikos end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will AEK Larnaka vs. Brann end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.82
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.