CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784aebfee9b486b855dfcc4b244d8b4015a59a98423150887283e08865cbc1d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof K27, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked K27 | 49c | 2,475$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.76 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,292$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.54 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 8c | 2,079$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 11c | 1,041$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed K27 | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 379.45$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 65c | 286$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 575 | 37.9%218 W · 357 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…aa7abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 223.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 98.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 12c | 92.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked K27 | 62c | 69.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 269 | 53.9%145 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed K27 | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed K27 | 62c | 42.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.