Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795a9131e60b04215092eef114e804087e70a6e63bb78da6972ad8f0842e4c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 11c | 8,160$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.19 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 14c | 4,713$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.45 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Anadolu Efes | 12c | 3,937$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.23 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 3,321$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Anadolu Efes | 14c | 1,629$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Anadolu Efes | 13c | 999.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Anadolu Efes | 11c | 991.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 766.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 16c | 731.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 569.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anadolu Efes | 11c | 551.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 550.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Anadolu Efes | 14c | 519.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Anadolu Efes | 7c | 442.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Anadolu Efes | 12c | 416.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Anadolu Efes | 12c | 409.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anadolu Efes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 394.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Anadolu Efes | 13c | 389.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Anadolu Efes | 13c | 300.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Anadolu Efes | 12c | 293.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Anadolu Efes | 13c | 291.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Anadolu Efes | 11c | 276.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Anadolu Efes | 15c | 265.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…54b9backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 258.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 238.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Anadolu Efes | 11c | 191.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Anadolu Efes | 8c | 160.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Anadolu Efes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Anadolu Efes | 14c | 139.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Anadolu Efes | 15c | 110.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…6199backed Anadolu Efes | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Anadolu Efes | 11c | 99.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…56acbacked Anadolu Efes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…811dbacked Anadolu Efes | 14c | 80.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Anadolu Efes | 15c | 79.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.