Cricket · resolved market
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79768d25d22f6ae3279e2905d744f37c17c9e77f4b962a9bcb92c4ef038aeee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malaysiaof Malaysia, China
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4340…363dbacked China | 24c | 611.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked China | 9c | 504.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed China | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked China | 19c | 400.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Malaysia | 52c | 348.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Malaysia | 79c | 338.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Malaysia | 49c | 334.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed China | 9c | 290.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked China | 19c | 277.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed China | 13c | 261.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Malaysia | 38c | 242.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Malaysia | 59c | 229.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Malaysia | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +264%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked China | 43c | 161.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Malaysia | 57c | 147.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked China | 51c | 131.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed China | 36c | 97.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…dfbdbacked China | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Malaysia | 64c | 42.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Malaysia | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Malaysia | 79c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed China | 46c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Malaysia | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.