Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria win on 2026-06-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ba0e788f22eeb311ab1d4dbf6a5c0b85afca72cf3f900054ec6aa57ae6a99a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Yes | 4c | 7,327$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…356fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,249$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 50c | 2,506$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.33 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…62babacked Yes | 6c | 1,171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 3c | 995.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…60babacked Yes | 3c | 954.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Yes | 1c | 851.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 736.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…7ff3backed Yes | 3c | 647.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…def4backed Yes | 3c | 572.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…312fbacked Yes | 3c | 552.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…7821backed Yes | 4c | 454.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…f799backed Yes | 4c | 400.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…2483backed Yes | 5c | 194.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…0c26backed Yes | 13c | 151.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 16c | 105.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…2a2abacked Yes | 39c | 51.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…d8c3backed No | 78c | 13.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-11?this page
- Will Austria vs. Guatemala end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.