Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona Gaels vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c11a53220593b805b8fd87803221f106ba762cde0e9963df436b8c8c76ece6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Iona Gaels, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 61c | 3,373$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 1,595$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iona Gaels | 44c | 1,340$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Iona Gaels | 37c | 1,020$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iona Gaels | 59c | 1,010$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.36 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Iona Gaels | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iona Gaels | 30c | 627.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iona Gaels | 59c | 600$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 47c | 453.6$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels | 30c | 417.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iona Gaels | 41c | 407.11$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Iona Gaels | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 43c | 281.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iona Gaels | 39c | 212.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iona Gaels | 45c | 209.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 174.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Iona Gaels | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 42c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Iona Gaels | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iona Gaels | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Iona Gaels | 66c | 70.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iona Gaels | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 43c | 62.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iona Gaels | 67c | 59.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iona Gaels | 58c | 36.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 43c | 31.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed Iona Gaels | 69c | 28.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Iona Gaels | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Iona Gaels | 55c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Iona Gaels | 65c | 22.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.