TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UTEP Miners vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof UTEP Miners, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89f3…dfffbacked UTEP Miners23c3,275$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.631,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs59c1,713$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.211,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UTEP Miners41c1,236$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs73c717.53$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.193,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs60c463.68$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.161,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UTEP Miners8c332.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.164,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed UTEP Miners42c301.51$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.635543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked UTEP Miners44c259.58$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2252928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed UTEP Miners14c222$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0819050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed UTEP Miners42c171.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8353646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6739144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UTEP Miners40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs58c82.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2221535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UTEP Miners41c64.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.792,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked UTEP Miners28c55.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.723158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UTEP Miners41c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.675,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UTEP Miners41c32.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs59c23.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.