Valorant · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a84eb60259d140effea88874043e271303b8ab1f5ceb7148de5958208811ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Envyof FURIA Esports, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Team Envy | 47c | 369.82$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Envy | 47c | 369.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Team Envy | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Envy | 46c | 148.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Team Envy | 52c | 116.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 114.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 106.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 106.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Team Envy | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Envy | 48c | 67.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Team Envy | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Team Envy | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed FURIA Esports | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Team Envy | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Team Envy | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Team Envy | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Team Envy | 52c | 28.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)Team Envy won
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)Team Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 WinnerTeam Envy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.