Us Politics · resolved market
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a91473a37af40dbca112c439a5464a45ebc8120b327158bb410ab470f9b82f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 3c | 11,066$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…6fd5backed No | 6c | 7,247$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…7588backed No | 3c | 6,909$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 4c | 6,293$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked No | 1c | 6,257$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked No | 4c | 5,906$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…56d5backed No | 4c | 5,451$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 4,749$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…657abacked No | 5c | 3,750$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2185backed No | 17c | 3,266$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 2c | 3,187$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 0c | 2,980$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…c444backed No | 3c | 2,922$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…dbb7backed No | 4c | 2,229$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…ab37backed No | 0c | 2,087$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked No | 5c | 1,842$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…2fbbbacked No | 5c | 1,760$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…0952backed No | 7c | 1,564$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4902backed No | 2c | 1,525$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed No | 20c | 1,481$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed No | 2c | 1,241$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…1432backed No | 24c | 1,214$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed No | 3c | 1,169$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…b605backed No | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed No | 4c | 995.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…e809backed No | 3c | 854.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3613backed No | 3c | 810.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…7b90backed No | 4c | 654.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f4ccbacked No | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…f71abacked No | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked No | 3c | 519.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…6f56backed No | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…99ffbacked No | 4c | 366.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked No | 6c | 317.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed No | 5c | 216$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…1f07backed No | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…dc95backed No | 7c | 152.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…3386backed No | 13c | 116.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…e115backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…20fabacked No | 16c | 67.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.