Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7abba7a6315b6478deb04f770c702c8bb30623ce7ad7b071f47f3830f9fd96be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 649.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 597.91$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…2dcabacked GamerLegion | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 246.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…413fbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 242.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GamerLegion | 7c | 154.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked GamerLegion | 15c | 146$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52b…3837backed GamerLegion | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed GamerLegion | 14c | 132.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed GamerLegion | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed GamerLegion | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…21d9backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked GamerLegion | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 49.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…34babacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.