Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4807c8e622591b12dfe9a843e2746f200e58a58735a61778bf9220e75ec52477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed GamerLegion | 3c | 14,994$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.08 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 4c | 11,015$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed GamerLegion | 17c | 3,124$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.94 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 2,206$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.46 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 1,779$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed GamerLegion | 22c | 1,560$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 26c | 977.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 28c | 975.08$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed GamerLegion | 19c | 855.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 8c | 611.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed GamerLegion | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 578.08$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 450$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 367.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 294.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 211.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…3f4abacked GamerLegion | 21c | 163.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion | 21c | 114.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed GamerLegion | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…04b6backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 88.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed GamerLegion | 22c | 71.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 61.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed GamerLegion | 19c | 57.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 57.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 52.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed GamerLegion | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 27c | 46.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…78c6backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.