Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae7e5efd0971311d8180fe7fa6dbf5c54df0bce200eef0af6f4162484a804f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troy Trojansof Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Troy Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 4,906$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 2,005$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6299backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 15c | 1,876$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 1,284$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…2728backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 2c | 1,175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 1,157$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…abfabacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 576$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 413.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 399.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 359.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 350.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 338.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 321.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 4c | 299.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 247.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 222.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojansthis page
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.