Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Carole Monnet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b94c473614f6d269a519e0322390ac0ad93e9ab907d8af7bd8f89c9702fe583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donna Vekicof Donna Vekic, Carole Monnet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Carole Monnet | 3c | 5,479$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Carole Monnet | 15c | 5,273$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.28 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Carole Monnet | 5c | 1,943$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Carole Monnet | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Carole Monnet | 4c | 623.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Carole Monnet | 3c | 619.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Donna Vekic | 50c | 483.34$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | +37.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Carole Monnet | 14c | 354.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 318.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Carole Monnet | 7c | 308.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Carole Monnet | 9c | 292.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Carole Monnet | 7c | 282.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…d030backed Carole Monnet | 6c | 209.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carole Monnet | 7c | 167.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Carole Monnet | 8c | 138.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Carole Monnet | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Carole Monnet | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Carole Monnet | 11c | 110.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.