Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbdb7acd5be7e0fc9f0e9528af882971dbfffb55e7fc308fa59eef81d5cba8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Missouri Tigers | 51c | 1,938$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.26 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 1,037$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 1,037$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Missouri Tigers | 54c | 968.54$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.01 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 521$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 47c | 485$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 367.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 273.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 266.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Missouri Tigers | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 236.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Missouri Tigers | 46c | 95.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Missouri Tigers | 56c | 90.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 69.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 61.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 25.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Missouri Tigers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Missouri Tigers | 51c | 23.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Oklahoma Sooners | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-2.5)this page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma Sooners won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 152.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 153.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-1.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.