Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Ducks vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bfbb0a3d1a1946b75da28804ee3f61c09eca6e0ec90597aa123e2c74b41db68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Zhejiang Golden Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Beijing Ducks | 42c | 334.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.42 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 54c | 304.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 54c | 183.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 37c | 133.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6d0fbacked Beijing Ducks | 63c | 119.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 52c | 117.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Beijing Ducks | 49c | 101.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Ducks | 52c | 95.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 55c | 89.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Beijing Ducks | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Beijing Ducks | 51c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Beijing Ducks | 46c | 58.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 51c | 51.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…9d50backed Beijing Ducks | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Beijing Ducks | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Ducks | 56c | 49.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Beijing Ducks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 57c | 33.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 62c | 32.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Beijing Ducks | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Beijing Ducks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Beijing Ducks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.