Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0486f7656ffd214108fbb9fdad845a92ecfc515dd7fb0d462e842b24d1a203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 37c | 7,675$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.69 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.05 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 38c | 4,000$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.69 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Over | 40c | 2,513$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 59c | 1,819$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.81 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Under | 63c | 682.54$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 62c | 536.29$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…687abacked Under | 62c | 503.46$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Over | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Under | 60c | 411.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 34c | 359.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 62c | 345$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 72c | 294.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 40c | 284.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 38c | 266.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 75c | 232.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 15c | 193.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 63c | 179.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 177$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 63c | 158.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 64c | 143.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 23c | 141.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 40c | 125.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 46.6%102 W · 117 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 61c | 88.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 62c | 81.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 61c | 77.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 66.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Under | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Over | 44c | 41.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Over | 40c | 41.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Under | 65c | 36.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 73c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.