Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Oceane Dodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0d16edfbd8e0f3302fd1041d3e70cd09dd6109169d88e2afdad0b37c371b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Khomutsianskayaof Daria Khomutsianskaya, Oceane Dodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oceane Dodin | 70c | 5,966$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 29c | 4,959$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oceane Dodin | 58c | 923.89$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 39c | 868.26$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.09 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 19c | 225$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 21c | 122.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oceane Dodin | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Oceane Dodin | 78c | 60.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 39c | 58.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 29c | 54.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 72c | 50.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Oceane Dodin | 55c | 50.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 32c | 47.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 29c | 45.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 33c | 34.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Oceane Dodin | 60c | 34.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 57c | 27.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Oceane Dodin | 69c | 25.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oceane Dodin | 74c | 22.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Oceane Dodin | 56c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.