CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c1e30d2b7aa02da9d940373fde162c3a98c64e5c4f91effc04e6902ee671a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof Nuclear TigeRES, ARCRED
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ARCRED | 46c | 2,725$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Nuclear TigeRES | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 1,108$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.92 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 528.06$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.89 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 42c | 477.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nuclear TigeRES | 8c | 386$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 354.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Nuclear TigeRES | 8c | 340$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ARCRED | 71c | 328.19$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 282.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ARCRED | 48c | 263.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 214.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed ARCRED | 47c | 212.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Nuclear TigeRES | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 133.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 126$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ARCRED | 43c | 112.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked ARCRED | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 78.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed ARCRED | 49c | 64.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…becfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 30.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED - Map 1 WinnerARCRED won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.