CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4fbaf72a18038cc18d75f2b26a92c742228042ff401acf6cd85e389b68bbb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Entropy, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Entropy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Entropy | 25c | 1,165$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Entropy | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked SAW | 76c | 413.46$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Entropy | 14c | 212.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked SAW | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Entropy | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 65c | 155.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Entropy | 23c | 136.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed SAW | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SAW | 78c | 102.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SAW | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW | 68c | 94.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Entropy | 51c | 65.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed SAW | 69c | 41.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Entropy | 46c | 38.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed SAW | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.