Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6ae7dd455320b64ac14c6e82cb762f09f9bef90ead7145dc410161876c8a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 50c | 8,780$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Over | 50c | 8,780$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 79c | 2,555$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.53 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 881.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 74c | 790.55$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.97 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 51c | 756.86$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 49c | 729.48$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 295.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 41c | 202$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 59c | 202$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 154.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 116.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 21c | 102.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…e764backed Under | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 21c | 78.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 52c | 65.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 52.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0810backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 29c | 45.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 45.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 51c | 39.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 36c | 34.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 59c | 34.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 30.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 72c | 29.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 79c | 26.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.