Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6ea59b843da46bb8b0df34f79f0635ecc777e68d9429ede97ccb1194da6a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 219.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…345bbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 174.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 35c | 131.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 111.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 20c | 87.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 33c | 70.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 76c | 57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 24c | 57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Under | 71c | 50.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 41.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 37.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 74c | 35.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 75c | 22.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 71c | 15.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.