La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6f96b92601ea8d8e31d547202d940bbe9c13ad892a178e4c81e95a55d32339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Racing Clubof Real Racing Club, Real Valladolid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Real Valladolid CF | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Racing Club | 45c | 1,776$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Real Racing Club | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Real Valladolid CF | 55c | 526.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Real Valladolid CF | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Valladolid CF | 60c | 495.62$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Real Racing Club | 45c | 356.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Real Racing Club | 36c | 299$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Racing Club | 31c | 225.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Real Racing Club | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Real Racing Club | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Valladolid CF | 55c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Real Racing Club | 59c | 105.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Real Valladolid CF | 56c | 84.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Real Racing Club | 45c | 84.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Real Valladolid CF | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Real Racing Club | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Racing Club | 43c | 59.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Valladolid CF | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Real Racing Club | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Real Racing Club | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Racing Club | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Real Valladolid CF | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.