Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8a65d5fee6a2b700f8f84c037a17d6d5669f1962cd4838f3bc98b45c616c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof USC Trojans, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed San Diego Toreros | 19c | 4,084$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.61 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 3,952$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.86 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed San Diego Toreros | 8c | 1,221$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…999fbacked San Diego Toreros | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked USC Trojans | 80c | 855.24$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…255abacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 799.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked San Diego Toreros | 7c | 796$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 740.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Toreros | 8c | 697.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 668.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Diego Toreros | 7c | 641.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed San Diego Toreros | 3c | 576.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 405.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Diego Toreros | 10c | 334$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked USC Trojans | 75c | 282.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked USC Trojans | 78c | 279.76$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 260.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Toreros | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Toreros | 14c | 210.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Toreros | 16c | 203.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 201.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Diego Toreros | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked San Diego Toreros | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego Toreros | 23c | 142$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 130.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed San Diego Toreros | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed San Diego Toreros | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked San Diego Toreros | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed USC Trojans | 80c | 25.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.